Learn how leading oncologists use MRD to inform treatment strategy and predict relapse risk
Written by: Dr. Gary Simmons & Dr. Kashif Ali
This educational opportunity is sponsored by Adaptive Biotechnologies
Measurable residual disease (MRD) testing has become a valuable tool across the multiple myeloma disease continuum, offering unprecedented insight into disease burden, treatment response, and relapse risk. NCCN guidelines define MRD negativity as the absence of clonal plasma cells by next generation flow cytometry or next generation sequencing (NGS), at a sensitivity of at least 1 in 10-5 cells, and recommend assessing MRD status after induction, post-transplant, post-consolidation and during maintenance therapy.1 MRD results are shaping key decisions ranging from the role and timing of autologous stem cell transplant to strategies for monitoring and treatment adjustment. Notably, MRD may be measured from bone marrow or peripheral blood, with data indicating that blood-based testing complements – but does not replace – bone marrow-based testing.2 In this dual-perspective Thought Leader Article, Dr. Gary Simmons (Virginia Oncology Associates) explores how MRD guides transplant decision-making, and Dr. Kashif Ali (Maryland Oncology Hematology) examines the value of blood-based MRD in monitoring response and predicting relapse in multiple myeloma.
The Role of MRD in Informing Autologous Stem Cell Transplant Decision-Making
Despite remarkable advances in multiple myeloma therapy, autologous stem cell transplant still plays a role in the treatment of many patients. Traditionally, clinical decision-making around transplant was limited to weighing patient-specific factors such as age, comorbidities, and the limited methods that existed to gauge response to induction therapy. MRD testing provides unprecedented, personalized insight into the induction response achieved by each patient, which directly influences the decision of whether to follow up with transplant. MRD does not diminish the value of transplant but is rather a stratification tool to identify patients who would derive additional benefit from transplant, from those for which monitoring would suffice. Several clinical trials including Determination, Perseus and GMMG-HD7 have demonstrated that transplant increases achievement and duration of MRD negativity.3,4,5 Thus, there is a bi-directional relationship in which MRD negativity supports the therapeutic value of transplant, and MRD results help to ensure that patients receive the minimal level of treatment required to achieve optimal outcomes.
In my practice, I evaluate MRD status alongside several variables including patient age, comorbidities, and standard- vs high-risk cytogenetics per the International Myeloma Working Group, when deciding on upfront vs deferred vs no transplant following induction therapy. In many cases, patient-specific factors significantly influence the weight of MRD results in guiding transplant decision-making. Notable among these is patient age. I tend to recommend transplant in young patients, even those who are MRD negative, given data showing a substantially increased disease-free survival6 and improved clinical outcomes in younger fit patients.7 Conversely, there are populations in which MRD negativity would lead me to defer upfront transplant, especially in patients demanding a conservative approach, such as those greater than 75-years-old and/or those with significant comorbidities. In these patients, MRD negativity often leads me to delay transplant, with the understanding that if/when the patient relapses, there are alternative treatment options to pursue, such as CAR T-cell therapy. In general, I encourage most standard-risk myeloma patients that if they are MRD negative over the next 5 years, the disease-free is similar with or without transplant; that is encouraging to patients.
As myeloma testing and treatment options rapidly evolve, it’s increasingly important to stay abreast of the gold standard MRD testing options and latest clinical guidelines, to ensure optimal patient outcomes. We’re always reviewing the options and the depth of MRD testing in our myeloma patients. At this point, I tend to exclusively use the clonoSEQ assay, as it has a depth of 1×10-6 cells. We know that depth of MRD and duration of MRD are related to improved clinical outcomes. Therefore, despite the clinical trials using a MRD cutoff of 1×10-5 cells, we prefer the increased sensitivity offered by clonoSEQ of 1×10-6, for optimal assurance that negativity accurately identifies patients who are truly “MRD negative”. While this piece is focused on the value of MRD in guiding transplant decisions, it’s worth nothing that assay depth and sensitivity also come to be very important post-stem cell transplant – as MRD negativity after a few years of maintenance can be used to determine if patients can stop maintenance therapy. In the MASTER trial, MRD status and cytogenetics could predict risk of relapse in two years, highlighting the utility of MRD to help guide continuing maintenance or identify patients who may be able to stop.8 Altogether, these insights underscore how MRD drives personalized care from transplant decision-making to maintenance, ensuring optimal outcomes for patients with multiple myeloma.
The Role of Peripheral Blood-Based MRD Assessment in Monitoring Disease Response
While bone marrow evaluation remains the standard method for MRD assessment, peripheral blood-based MRD testing is an increasingly valuable approach for guiding treatment decisions and monitoring response in multiple myeloma. MRD negativity by both peripheral blood and bone marrow is associated with an improved progression-free survival (PFS) compared to one modality alone, underscoring their complementary nature.2 Notably, peripheral blood MRD positivity has a 100% positive predictive value of bone marrow MRD positivity.10 Understandably, the negative predictive value of peripheral blood MRD is lower, demonstrating that peripheral blood MRD negativity does not exclude bone marrow disease.11 Therefore, in my practice, blood-based MRD positivity does not prompt confirmatory bone marrow testing, whereas blood-based MRD negativity should be confirmed by bone marrow biopsy, if the goal is to alter treatment.
Confidence in blood-based MRD results is influenced by several factors, including myeloma disease biology and timing. Patients who present with circulating plasma cells at diagnosis have more aggressive disease and worse outcomes.12,13,14 In the post-transplant setting, studies have shown that patients negative for circulating DNA at three months post-transplant had significantly better PFS (84 vs 31 months) with a positive predictive value of 93.3%.15,16 Those who achieve a complete response will have no detectable plasma cells, as opposed to those who have a relapse, and blood-based MRD testing opens the door to uncover previously undetectable levels of circulating plasma cells. There are also situations, such as patients with patchy bone marrow involvement or extramedullary disease17, in which MRD assessment of blood is more informative and bone marrow testing alone would be insufficient.18
Timing is another important consideration. The concordance between bone marrow and blood-based MRD is lowest early after transplant and increases with time, suggesting enhanced reliability of peripheral blood MRD during maintenance.19 Peripheral blood MRD is well suited for longitudinal monitoring post-induction, post-transplant, and especially during maintenance in situations where repeated bone marrow biopsies would not be feasible.10,20 I routinely incorporate peripheral blood MRD testing at these timepoints and find it to be a less invasive alternative that enables more frequent assessment of patients who are reluctant to undergo repeat bone marrow biopsies.20,21 When the goal is to continue maintenance treatment, I utilize serial peripheral blood MRD testing and myeloma-related lab tests. In these scenarios, I would only check a bone marrow biopsy if the goal were to discontinue or de-escalate treatment. In the case of a blood-based MRD positivity, given the high concordance between peripheral blood and bone marrow, I would not mandate that an unwilling patient also undergo bone marrow-based MRD. In my practice and outside of a clinical trial, most patients with blood-based MRD positivity, after hearing about data on concordance, decide not to undergo bone marrow confirmation although I do offer it to them. Together, the expanding clinical utility of MRD assessment by blood and bone marrow underscores its value for guiding treatment decisions, monitoring response and prognosticating outcomes in multiple myeloma.
References:
- National Comprehensive Cancer Network. Multiple Myeloma. Updated 2025-11-26.
- Langerhorst P, Noori S, Zajec M, et al. Multiple Myeloma Minimal Residual Disease Detection: Targeted Mass Spectrometry in Blood vs Next-Generation Sequencing in Bone Marrow. Clinical Chemistry. 2021;67(12):1689-1698. doi:10.1093/clinchem/hvab187.
- Richardson PG, Jacobus SJ, Weller EA, et al. Triplet Therapy, Transplantation, and Maintenance until Progression in Myeloma. The New England Journal of Medicine. 2022;387(2):132–147. doi:10.1056/NEJMoa2204925.
- Sonneveld P, Dimopoulos MA, Boccadoro M, et al. Daratumumab, Bortezomib, Lenalidomide, and Dexamethasone for Multiple Myeloma. The New England Journal of Medicine. 2024;390(4):301-313. doi:10.1056/NEJMoa2312054.
- Goldschmidt H, Bertch U, Pozek E, et al. Isatuximab, Lenalidomide, Bortezomib and Dexamethasone Induction Therapy for Transplant-Eligible Patients with Newly Diagnosed Multiple Myeloma: Final Progression-Free Survival Analysis of Part 1 of an Open-Label, Multicenter, Randomized, Phase 3 Trial (GMMG-HD7). Blood. 2024;144(Supplement 1): 769. doi: https://doi.org/10.1182/blood-2024-193308.
- Ebraheem M, Kumar SK, Dispenzieri A, et al. Deepening Responses after Upfront Autologous Stem Cell Transplantation in Patients with Newly Diagnosed Multiple Myeloma in the Era of Novel Agent Induction Therapy. Transplant Cell Ther. 2022;28(11):760.e1-760.e5. doi:10.1016/j.jtct.2022.07.030.
- Liu J, Yan W, Fan H, et al. Clinical Benefit of Autologous Stem Cell Transplantation for Patients with Multiple Myeloma Achieving Undetectable Minimal Residual Disease after Induction Treatment. Cancer Res Commun. 2023;3(9):1770-1780. doi:10.1158/2767-9764.CRC-23-0185.
- Costa LJ, Chhabra S, Medvedova E, et al. Daratumumab, Carfilzomib, Lenalidomide, and Dexamethasone With Minimal Residual Disease Response-Adapted Therapy in Newly Diagnosed Multiple Myeloma. J Clin Oncol. 2022;40(25):2901-2912. doi:10.1200/JCO.21.01935.
- Terpos E, Malandrakis P, Ntanasis-Stathopoulos I, et al. Sustained bone marrow and imaging MRD negativity for 3 years drives discontinuation of maintenance post-ASCT in myeloma. Blood. 2025;145(20):2353-2360. doi:10.1182/blood.2024027686.
- Lasa M, Notarfranchi L, Agullo C, et al. Minimally Invasive Assessment of Peripheral Residual Disease During Maintenance or Observation in Transplant-Eligible Patients With Multiple Myeloma. J Clin Oncol. 2025;43(2):125-132. doi:10.1200/JCO.24.00635.
- Chandhok NS, Sekeres MA. Measurable residual disease in hematologic malignancies: a biomarker in search of a standard. EClinicalMedicine. 2025;86:103348. doi:10.1016/j.eclinm.2025.103348.
- Bertamini L, Oliva S, Rota-Scalabrini D, et al. High Levels of Circulating Tumor Plasma Cells as a Key Hallmark of Aggressive Disease in Transplant-Eligible Patients With Newly Diagnosed Multiple Myeloma. J Clin Oncol. 2022;40(27):3120-3131. doi:10.1200/JCO.21.01393.
- Li Q, Ai L, Zuo L, et al. Circulating plasma cells as a predictive biomarker in Multiple myeloma: an updated systematic review and meta-analysis. Ann Med. 2024;56(1):2338604. doi:10.1080/07853890.2024.2338604.
- Li J, Wang N, Tesfaluul N, Gao X, Liu S, Yue B. Prognostic value of circulating plasma cells in patients with multiple myeloma: A meta-analysis. PLoS One. 2017;12(7):e0181447. doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0181447.
- Dhakal B, Sharma S, Balcioglu M, et al. Assessment of Molecular Residual Disease Using Circulating Tumor DNA to Identify Multiple Myeloma Patients at High Risk of Relapse. Frontiers in Oncology. 2022;12:786451. doi:10.3389/fonc.2022.786451.
- Dhakal B, Sharma S, Shchegrova S, et al. Personalized, ctDNA analysis to detect minimal residual disease and identify patients at high risk of relapse with multiple myeloma. Journal of Clinical Oncology. 2021;39(Suppl 15):8029. doi:10.1200/JCO.2021.39.15_suppl.8029.
- van de Donk NWCJ, Pawlyn C, Yong KL. Multiple myeloma. Lancet. 2021;397(10272):410-427. doi:10.1016/S0140-6736(21)00135-5.
- Manasanch EE. What to do with minimal residual disease testing in myeloma. Hematology Am Soc Hematol Educ Program. 2019;2019(1):137-141. doi:10.1182/hematology.2019000080.
- Kubicki T, Dytfeld D, Barnidge D, et al. Mass spectrometry-based assessment of M protein in peripheral blood during maintenance therapy in multiple myeloma. Blood. 2024;144(9):955-963. doi:10.1182/blood.2024024041.
- Wijnands C, Noori S, Donk NWCJV, VanDuijn MM, Jacobs JFM. Advances in minimal residual disease monitoring in multiple myeloma. Crit Rev Clin Lab Sci. 2023;60(7):518-534. doi:10.1080/10408363.2023.2209652.
- Kumar S, Paiva B, Anderson KC, et al. International Myeloma Working Group Consensus Criteria for Response and Minimal Residual Disease Assessment in Multiple Myeloma. Lancet Oncology. 2016;17(8):e328-e346. doi:10.1016/S1470-2045(16)30206-6.
