SUMMARY: The American Cancer Society estimates that 46,950 new cases of rectal cancer will be diagnosed in the US in 2025. Based on the information from the SEER database, the 5-year relative survival rates for rectal cancer all SEER stages combined is 67%.
The American Society of Clinical Oncology (ASCO) in 2024 published a guideline on treatment of locally advanced rectal cancer following a systematic review of research from 2013 to 2023. The systematic review included data from 12 randomized controlled trials, 2 systematic reviews, and 1 nonrandomized study.
The ASCO recommendations encouraged patients with MicroSatellite Stable (MSS) or proficient MisMatch Repair (MMR) locally advanced rectal cancer who have undergone assessment with dedicated rectal sequence pelvic MRI to consider Total Neoadjuvant Therapy (TNT) as initial treatment, for tumors in the lower rectum. They also encouraged those who are at a higher risk of local or distant metastases (T4, extramural vascular invasion and/or tumor deposits, threatened mesorectal fascia or intersphinteric plane and/or not eligible for sphincter sparing surgery, to consider TNT. For patients receiving TNT, long course chemoradiation is preferred, followed by chemotherapy consolidation prior to surgery.
Patients who do not present with high-risk factors (upper and middle rectal cancer and more than 5 mm of extramural invasion) are eligible to receive neoadjuvant FOLFOX chemotherapy, with selective ChemoRadiation Therapy (CRT) when extent of tumor response to chemotherapy is deemed insufficient.
Nonoperative management may be offered instead of total mesorectal excision for patients who demonstrate a clinical Complete Response to neoadjuvant therapy.
Immunotherapy is the recommended treatment for patients with tumors presenting with MicroSatellite Instability-High (MSI-H) or MisMatch Repair (MMR)-deficient disease.
The additional information provided below by ASCO is meant to addresses some of the questions that clinicians may face as they implement the recommendations into clinical practice.
Which Patients Are Included in the ASCO Guideline for Locally Advanced Rectal Cancer?
The ASCO guideline for locally advanced rectal cancer includes patients with T3 or T4 and/or node-positive disease. While T3 tumors with MRI-assessed extramural invasion ≤5 mm generally have better outcomes, the guideline classifies all low T3 rectal tumors, regardless of depth of invasion, as higher risk and includes them due to their increased recurrence risk. Patients with favorable T3 features may be addressed in a future guideline for early-stage rectal cancer.
What Is the Extent of Tumor Response Required for Omission of Radiation, That Is, Delivery of FOLFOX (Fluorouracil, Leucovorin, and Oxaliplatin) Chemotherapy Alone, for Patients with Locally Advanced Rectal Cancer?
This question applies to patients similar to those enrolled in the PROSPECT trial—specifically, individuals with T2 or T3 rectal tumors situated at least 3 mm from the circumferential resection margin, with no more than three involved pelvic lymph nodes, and eligible for sphincter-sparing surgery. In the trial, a tumor area reduction of at least 20% was considered an adequate response to potentially omit radiation therapy. However, it’s important to note that some lower-risk patients from the study fall outside the scope of the current ASCO guidelines for locally advanced rectal cancer.
What Is the Balance of Benefits and Harms in the PROSPECT Trial of FOLFOX with Selective Chemoradiation Versus Chemoradiation Alone?
Neoadjuvant chemoradiation (CRT) for rectal cancer has historically been associated with long-term bowel, bladder, and sexual dysfunction in approximately 14% of patients. In light of this, the PROSPECT trial explored a de-escalation approach to potentially reduce toxicity by omitting routine pelvic radiation in select patients with mid-rectal tumors that do not involve the mesorectal fascia.
This phase III noninferiority trial demonstrated comparable Disease-Free Survival, Overall Survival, and local recurrence between patients treated with neoadjuvant FOLFOX (infusional 5-FU, leucovorin, and oxaliplatin) and those who received standard CRT with 5-FU. With efficacy outcomes being similar, patient safety and quality of life became central in guiding treatment choices.
Clinician-reported Adverse Events (AE) of Grade 3 or more were more common with FOLFOX (41.0%) compared to CRT (22.8%), with neutropenia, pain, and hypertension being the most frequent in the FOLFOX group. In the CRT group, common severe AEs included lymphopenia, diarrhea, and hypertension.
Regarding neuropathy, FOLFOX was associated with a higher rate pre-surgery (19% vs 5%) but showed comparable rates to CRT at 12 and 18 months postoperatively. Patient-reported outcomes revealed that while both groups experienced significant symptoms during treatment (e.g., fatigue, appetite loss, neuropathy, diarrhea), most severe symptoms resolved by 12 months post-surgery.
Sexual function, particularly among men and women in the CRT group, was more negatively impacted at 12 months, but differences between groups diminished by 24 months. Health-Related Quality of Life (HRQOL) was similar across both treatment arms throughout the follow-up period.
Treatment decisions may also be influenced by individual concerns: for example, younger women concerned about fertility might prefer chemotherapy alone, while those seeking to avoid long-term neuropathy might favor CRT. Surgical outcomes, including ostomy rates, also play a role. While data from the PROSPECT trial on surgical outcomes are forthcoming, similar trials (e.g., CONVERT) reported a lower rate of preventive ileostomy with neoadjuvant chemotherapy compared to CRT.
What Is the Timing of Assessment for Clinical Complete Response and Potential Nonoperative Management Following Total Neoadjuvant Therapy?
Although this topic was not formally evaluated in the ASCO guideline, the Expert Panel generally supported the assessment timeline used in the OPRA phase II trial, which evaluated clinical Complete Response approximately 8 weeks (±4 weeks) after completing total neoadjuvant therapy (TNT). Panelists noted that if radiation is given first in the TNT sequence, waiting an additional 8 weeks after chemotherapy might lead to an overly long treatment-free period. In such cases, an earlier response assessment may be appropriate. If the initial evaluation shows a near-Complete Response, reassessment within 8 weeks is advised to monitor for full clinical response and consider nonoperative management, as being studied in the ongoing JANUS trial comparing doublet and triplet consolidation chemotherapy.
What Tools Should Be Used in the Assessment of Patients Who Are Participating in NOM?
This guidance is based on the follow-up procedures used in the OPRA trial for NonOperative Management (NOM) of locally advanced rectal cancer. Patients underwent digital rectal exams and flexible sigmoidoscopy every 4 months during the first 2 years after initial response assessment, then every 6 months for the next 3 years. Rectal MRI was performed at least every 6 months for the first 2 years, with less frequent imaging afterward. If imaging or endoscopy showed signs of regrowth or a decline in response, patients exited the NOM protocol and were referred for surgery. Routine biopsies of the tumor site were not required. Annual CT scans of the chest, abdomen, and pelvis were conducted for all patients.
Does Circulating Tumor DNA Have A Role in the Assessment of Response for Patients Who Have Undergone Neoadjuvant Therapy for Locally Advanced Rectal Cancer?
Currently, there is not enough evidence to support the use of circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) in predicting treatment response for patients with locally advanced rectal cancer. Ongoing research in this area will be reviewed for potential inclusion in future updates to the ASCO guideline.
Should Endorectal Ultrasonography And/or Computed Tomography Be Used to Assess Locally Advanced Rectal Cancer When MRI Is Not Available?
Traditionally, Endorectal UltraSound (EUS) and sometimes CT scans have been used to evaluate rectal cancer. However, high-resolution MRI provides a more accurate assessment of tumor invasion into the MesoRectal Fascia (MRF). While MRI might not be accessible in all settings, no validated alternative imaging method is currently recommended in this guideline. In cases where MRI is not feasible, EUS and CT may be used, though they do not offer complete tumor staging.
Management of Locally Advanced Rectal Cancer: ASCO Guideline Clinical Insights. Scott AJ, Kennedy EB, Berlin J, et al. JCO Oncol Pract. 2025 Mar;21:281-286.
